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    <title>Morning Compilation by Hal Hayes</title>
    <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/</link>
    <description>Blog By Hal Hayes</description>
    <language>en-us</language>
    <copyright>Hal Hayes</copyright>
    <lastBuildDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 12:48:57 GMT</lastBuildDate>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
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        <p>
      First, I want to recommend the following article by a meteorologist who "gets it".
      Brian Sussman does an excellent job of putting the global warming facts in perspective
      in this article entitled <a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/06/global_whining_vs_the_truth.html"><strong>Global
      Whining vs. the Truth</strong></a>. 
   </p>
        <p>
      In his article he references best-selling author Michael Crichton, which I am placing
      verbatim because it provides a powerful perspective on the size of the issue!
   </p>
        <br />
        <table cellspacing="2" cellpadding="5" width="700" bgcolor="#ffff99" border="0">
          <tbody>
            <tr>
              <td>
                <p>
                  <font face="Tahoma" size="2">
                    <em>In his must-read eco-thriller, <strong><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0066214130/ref=sip_pdp_dp_0">State
                  of Fear</a></strong>, </em>
                  </font>
                  <a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0066214130/ref=sip_pdp_dp_0">
                    <strong>
                      <font face="Tahoma" size="2">
                        <em>Michael
                  Crichton</em>
                      </font>
                    </strong>
                  </a>
                  <font face="Tahoma" size="2">
                    <em> creates a brilliant
                  visual to assist us in wrapping our minds around the components of Earth's atmosphere. 
                  On page 387, he likens the atmosphere to a football field.  The goal line to
                  the 78 yard-line contains nothing but nitrogen.  Oxygen fills the next 21 yards
                  to the 99 yard-line.  The final yard, except for four inches, is argon, a wonderfully
                  mysterious inert gas useful for putting out electronic fires.  Three of the remaining
                  four inches is crammed with a variety of minor, but essential, gases like neon, helium,
                  hydrogen and methane.  <strong>And the last inch</strong>?  <font color="#006400"><strong>Carbon
                  dioxide</strong></font>.  <strong>One inch out of a hundred-yard field!</strong> 
                  At this point I like to add, if you were in the stands looking down on the action,
                  you would need binoculars to see the width of that line.  And the most important
                  point-how much of that last inch is contributed by man-made activities?  Envision
                  a line about as thin as a dime standing on edge. </em>
                  </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <em>
                    <font face="Tahoma">
                      <font size="2">Are you still worried about the dangers of
                  CO2?</font>
                      <br />
                    </font>
                  </em>
                </p>
              </td>
            </tr>
          </tbody>
        </table>
        <br />
        <p>
      Perhaps you still believe in Global Warming. And perhaps you believe in the Easter
      Bunny, too. My recommendation is to stick with the Easter Bunny, because no politician
      has figured out how to get money out of your wallet over that. 
   </p>
        <p>
          <img src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/easterbunny.jpg" border="0" />
        </p>
        <p>
      In case you want a perspective on what your scientific ignorance or political
      leanings is going to cost you (not the oil companies, power companies, etc.), here
      is a headline that should shock you into thinking a little more about what you could
      be facing with regards to cleaning up a phantom problem would be:
   </p>
        <p>
          <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080606/ap_on_bi_ge/japan_iea_climate_change">
            <strong>
              <font size="4">$45 <font face="Arial" size="5">trillion</font> needed
      to combat warming</font>
            </strong>
          </a>
        </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=c4fbe815-08a3-47c9-b2f0-baca3833d649" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Much ado about nothing...</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,c4fbe815-08a3-47c9-b2f0-baca3833d649.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,c4fbe815-08a3-47c9-b2f0-baca3833d649.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 12:48:57 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   First, I want to recommend the following article by a meteorologist who "gets it".
   Brian Sussman does an excellent job of putting the global warming facts in perspective
   in this article entitled &lt;a href="http://www.americanthinker.com/2008/06/global_whining_vs_the_truth.html"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Global
   Whining vs. the Truth&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   In his article he references best-selling author Michael Crichton, which I am placing
   verbatim because it provides a powerful perspective on the size of the issue!
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;table cellspacing=2 cellpadding=5 width=700 bgcolor=#ffff99 border=0&gt;
   &lt;tbody&gt;
      &lt;tr&gt;
         &lt;td&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face=Tahoma size=2&gt;&lt;em&gt;In his must-read eco-thriller, &lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0066214130/ref=sip_pdp_dp_0"&gt;State
               of Fear&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;, &lt;/em&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0066214130/ref=sip_pdp_dp_0"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;font face=Tahoma size=2&gt;&lt;em&gt;Michael
               Crichton&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Tahoma size=2&gt;&lt;em&gt; creates a brilliant
               visual to assist us in wrapping our minds around the components of Earth's atmosphere.&amp;nbsp;
               On page 387, he likens the atmosphere to a football field.&amp;nbsp; The goal line to
               the 78 yard-line contains nothing but nitrogen.&amp;nbsp; Oxygen fills the next 21 yards
               to the 99 yard-line.&amp;nbsp; The final yard, except for four inches, is argon, a wonderfully
               mysterious inert gas useful for putting out electronic fires.&amp;nbsp; Three of the remaining
               four inches is crammed with a variety of minor, but essential, gases like neon, helium,
               hydrogen and methane.&amp;nbsp; &lt;strong&gt;And the last inch&lt;/strong&gt;?&amp;nbsp; &lt;font color=#006400&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Carbon
               dioxide&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;.&amp;nbsp; &lt;strong&gt;One inch out of a hundred-yard field!&lt;/strong&gt;&amp;nbsp;
               At this point I like to add, if you were in the stands looking down on the action,
               you would need binoculars to see the width of that line.&amp;nbsp; And the most important
               point-how much of that last inch is contributed by man-made activities?&amp;nbsp; Envision
               a line about as thin as a dime standing on edge. &lt;/em&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;em&gt;&lt;font face=Tahoma&gt;&lt;font size=2&gt;Are you still worried about the dangers of CO2?&lt;/font&gt; 
               &lt;br&gt;
               &lt;/font&gt;&lt;/em&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
         &lt;/td&gt;
      &lt;/tr&gt;
   &lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;br&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   Perhaps you still believe in Global Warming. And perhaps you believe in the Easter
   Bunny, too. My recommendation is to stick with the Easter Bunny, because no politician
   has figured out how to get money out of your wallet over that. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;img src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/easterbunny.jpg" border=0&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   In case you want a perspective on what your scientific&amp;nbsp;ignorance or political
   leanings is going to cost you (not the oil companies, power companies, etc.), here
   is a headline that should shock you into thinking a little more about what you could
   be facing with regards to cleaning up a phantom problem would be:
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080606/ap_on_bi_ge/japan_iea_climate_change"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;font size=4&gt;$45 &lt;font face=Arial size=5&gt;trillion&lt;/font&gt; needed
   to combat warming&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt; 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=c4fbe815-08a3-47c9-b2f0-baca3833d649" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming;Yahoo</category>
    </item>
    <item>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">I suppose they are teaching the scientific
      method still in school, but I guess they just do not teach it in journalistic schools.
      Why would I say that? Because of Global Warming, or lack thereof.</font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">Using the <b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal">scientific
      method</b>, you have a theory from which you derive hypotheses. You test your hypothesis
      through observations (often by means of an experiment). The observation either supports
      or disproves your hypothesis. At some point, if a confluence of observations and experiments
      disprove your hypotheses, then you must consider that your theory is wrong. Wiki gives
      a very good synopsis of the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_method">Scientific
      Method</a>, including the quote, “<em>Belief can alter observations; those with a
      particular belief will often see things as reinforcing their belief, even if they
      do not.</em>” Read the article below and see if you do not come away thinking, as
      I do, that the scientists are taking their own negative observations and using them
      to reinforce their belief in global warming. </font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">And I love this quote by Einstein, “<em>No
      amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me
      wrong.</em>” Einstein was a real scientist (not a politician), and a statement
      like this says that he could accept that his theories could be wrong if the observations
      did not support them. </font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">So, here is another chink the armor
      of the theory of anthropomorphic global warming. Another experiment where the observations
      just do not fit. The World’s oceans have not warmed up over the last five years, according
      to NASA scientists that are running some very sophisticated tests. In fact, they say
      that the oceans have cooled slightly during that time. </font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">
            <a style="TEXT-DECORATION: none" href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=88520025">
              <font size="4">
                <strong>The
      Mystery of Global Warming's Missing Heat</strong>
              </font>
            </a>, by <strong>NPR</strong>.</font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">At some point, there may come a day
      of reckoning when the media looks back and realizes that a group of scientists proposed
      a theory that was based on bad math and not supported by observations, but that it
      because a political expediency allowing politicians, celebrities, governments, and
      businesses to use this so called crisis to their own advantages. Unfortunately, the
      press will not likely hold their own selves accountable.</font>
        </p>
        <p class="MsoNormal" style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt">
          <font face="Calibri" color="#000000" size="3">Of course, many people with limited
      background in sciences and mathematics have already made up their minds, which is
      clearly evident when you read statements like this, “<a href="http://themoderatevoice.com/science/environment/11737/al-gore-global-warming-expert/"><em>Personally,
      it seems to me that science has proven beyond any reasonable doubt that human activity
      increases global warming</em></a><em>.</em>” Do you think they may change their opinion
      after reading the above article? My theory of human behavior says that it is not likely.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
        </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=01808351-cb99-42ee-b0a4-c7b456dcbe9b" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Are the oceans cooling?</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,01808351-cb99-42ee-b0a4-c7b456dcbe9b.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,01808351-cb99-42ee-b0a4-c7b456dcbe9b.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Sat, 26 Apr 2008 10:58:06 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;I suppose they are teaching the scientific
   method still in school, but I guess they just do not teach it in journalistic schools.
   Why would I say that? Because of Global Warming, or lack thereof.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;Using the &lt;b style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"&gt;scientific
   method&lt;/b&gt;, you have a theory from which you derive hypotheses. You test your hypothesis
   through observations (often by means of an experiment). The observation either supports
   or disproves your hypothesis. At some point, if a confluence of observations and experiments
   disprove your hypotheses, then you must consider that your theory is wrong. Wiki gives
   a very good synopsis of the &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_method"&gt;Scientific
   Method&lt;/a&gt;, including the quote, “&lt;em&gt;Belief can alter observations; those with a
   particular belief will often see things as reinforcing their belief, even if they
   do not.&lt;/em&gt;” Read the article below and see if you do not come away thinking, as
   I do, that the scientists are taking their own negative observations and using them
   to reinforce their belief in global warming. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;And I love this quote by Einstein, “&lt;em&gt;No
   amount of experimentation can ever prove me right; a single experiment can prove me
   wrong.&lt;/em&gt;” Einstein was a real scientist (not a politician),&amp;nbsp;and a statement
   like this says that he could accept that his theories could be wrong if the observations
   did not support them. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;So, here is another chink the armor of the
   theory of anthropomorphic global warming. Another experiment where the observations
   just do not fit. The World’s oceans have not warmed up over the last five years, according
   to NASA scientists that are running some very sophisticated tests. In fact, they say
   that the oceans have cooled slightly during that time. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;a style="TEXT-DECORATION: none" href="http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=88520025"&gt;&lt;font size=4&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The
   Mystery of Global Warming's Missing Heat&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;, by &lt;strong&gt;NPR&lt;/strong&gt;.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;At some point, there may come a day of reckoning
   when the media looks back and realizes that a group of scientists proposed a theory
   that was based on bad math and not supported by observations, but that it because
   a political expediency allowing politicians, celebrities, governments, and businesses
   to use this so called crisis to their own advantages. Unfortunately, the press&amp;nbsp;will
   not likely hold their own selves accountable.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Calibri color=#000000 size=3&gt;Of course, many people with limited background
   in sciences and mathematics have already made up their minds, which is clearly evident
   when you read statements like this, “&lt;a href="http://themoderatevoice.com/science/environment/11737/al-gore-global-warming-expert/"&gt;&lt;em&gt;Personally,
   it seems to me that science has proven beyond any reasonable doubt that human activity
   increases global warming&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;em&gt;.&lt;/em&gt;” Do you think they may change their opinion
   after reading the above article? My theory of human behavior says that it is not likely.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=01808351-cb99-42ee-b0a4-c7b456dcbe9b" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Global Warming;Science</category>
    </item>
    <item>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
      Here is a great editorial on something I have been saying for some time - Global Warming
      researchers were "cooking the books" with regards to their statistical analysis and
      prediction of increasing global warming (and laying it at the feet of Mankind). 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font color="#000000" size="3">
            <a href="http://http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080314/COMMENTARY/702895001/home.html">
              <strong>Climate
      Panel on the hot seat,</strong>
              <font size="2">by H. Sterling Burnett, Washington
      Times</font>
            </a>
          </font>
        </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <p>
          <img src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/hotpot.gif" border="0" />
        </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <p>
      Please note the commentary on the mathematical analysis conducted by <a href="http://www.galaxy.gmu.edu/stats/faculty/wegman.html">Dr.
      Ed Wegman</a>, <a href="http://www.gmu.edu/">George Mason University</a>. For those
      not familiar with him, Dr. Wegman is a brilliant and respected researcher in Statistics.
   </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b0688604-2bb1-4f97-8dc9-1e22dac2dcc4" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Global Warming math cannot be supported</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b0688604-2bb1-4f97-8dc9-1e22dac2dcc4.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b0688604-2bb1-4f97-8dc9-1e22dac2dcc4.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2008 16:18:27 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   Here is a great editorial on something I have been saying for some time - Global Warming
   researchers were "cooking the books" with regards to their statistical analysis and
   prediction of increasing global warming (and laying it at the feet of Mankind). 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;a href="http://http://www.washingtontimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080314/COMMENTARY/702895001/home.html"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Climate
   Panel on the hot seat,&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;font size=2&gt;by H. Sterling Burnett, Washington Times&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;img src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/hotpot.gif" border=0&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   Please note the commentary on the mathematical analysis conducted by &lt;a href="http://www.galaxy.gmu.edu/stats/faculty/wegman.html"&gt;Dr.
   Ed Wegman&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.gmu.edu/"&gt;George Mason University&lt;/a&gt;. For those
   not familiar with him, Dr. Wegman is a brilliant and respected researcher in Statistics.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b0688604-2bb1-4f97-8dc9-1e22dac2dcc4" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming;Science</category>
    </item>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
      Shame on Governor Kaine of Virginia. He appears to be going down the path of promoting
      Global Warming and reprehensibly pursuing punishing regulations and, perhaps, taxpayer-based
      funding (i.e. taxes) so that the great state of Virginia can be on the bandwagon when
      it comes to detering MMGW (Man-Made Global Warming). This has all the appearance of
      contemptible pandering to those that know little about science but a lot about political
      extremism. When you see politicians embracing science issues you'd better hold onto
      your wallets! 
   </p>
        <p>
      The Governor's blue ribbon commission states that they are asking for input. Well,
      I made my thoughts known after the Governor's Secretary for Natural Resources, <strong>L.
      Preston Bryant</strong>, <a href="http://www.fredericksburg.com/News/FLS/2008/022008/02272008/358911/index_html?page=1">published
      a letter</a> in our paper recently.
   </p>
        <p>
      Here is <a href="http://www.naturalresources.virginia.gov/OfficeInfo/bryantBio.cfm">Mr.
      Bryant's bio</a>. He is an accomplished politician with an English major background.
      He is certainly eloquent, but it does appear he is somewhat light on the sciences.
      That is not going to help him if he has to explain how unimportant things like error
      factors are in weather measurements directly related to the climatological statistical
      models used to prognosticate the potential calamities associated global warming.
   </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <p>
      Here is my response to Mr. Bryant's article:
   </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <table bgcolor="#ffff99" width="600">
          <tbody>
            <tr>
              <td>
                <p>
                  <strong>
                    <a href="http://www.fredericksburg.com/News/FLS/2008/032008/03072008/361086">
                      <font face="Courier New" size="2">On
                  climate change, let's not rush into things, Gov. Kaine</font>
                    </a>
                  </strong>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Date published: 3/7/2008 </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">On climate change, let's not rush into things, Gov.
                  Kaine </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Gov. Kaine's study to determine how Virginia can
                  address climate change is admirable, but L. Preston Bryant Jr.'s Feb. 27 op-ed does
                  not address key issues ["A common-'wealth' of global solutions?"].</font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Is climate change occurring? Always, if you believe
                  the historical record. Information suggests that our current climate is neither the
                  warmest nor the coldest during written history. </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Are greenhouse gases bad? Greenhouse gases are naturally
                  occurring (water vapor, carbon dioxide, and methane). Without the greenhouse effect,
                  scientists hypothesize that the Earth would be a far colder and inhospitable place. </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Is man the cause of climate change? The governor's
                  administration would have us believe that the debate on the man-made impact on the
                  climate is over, and all scientists are in agreement. </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">There are many strong scientific voices that dispute
                  the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the international body
                  that is at the heart of the global climate-crisis call to arms. Much of the fear-mongering
                  is based on computer models that are reported to be inaccurate when compared with
                  current weather trends.</font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Are the governor's advisers well-balanced? Besides
                  the host of business and government personages, there is one scientist of note who
                  is strongly associated with the IPCC. </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">But no scientists are listed who have opposing opinions.
                  How can the governor make informed policy decisions for all Virginians if he does
                  not consider contrary views? </font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">What if man-made climate change is not an issue?
                  It would be unwise to rush headlong into enacting laws and raising taxes that would
                  affect our financial well-being, when the impacts of such laws on the environment
                  are minuscule, unmeasurable, and not needed.</font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font face="Courier New" size="2">Hal Hayes</font>
                </p>
                <p>
                  <font size="2">
                    <font face="Courier New">Spotsylvania</font>
                  </font>
                </p>
              </td>
            </tr>
          </tbody>
        </table>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=167c74a5-fdc6-410a-bbb3-906e1949fcb7" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Doing my part to derail the politization of Science</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,167c74a5-fdc6-410a-bbb3-906e1949fcb7.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,167c74a5-fdc6-410a-bbb3-906e1949fcb7.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Mon, 10 Mar 2008 18:10:16 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   Shame on Governor Kaine of Virginia. He appears to be going down the path of promoting
   Global Warming and reprehensibly pursuing punishing regulations and, perhaps, taxpayer-based
   funding (i.e. taxes) so that the great state of Virginia can be on the bandwagon when
   it comes to detering MMGW (Man-Made Global Warming). This has all the appearance of
   contemptible pandering to those that know little about science but a lot about political
   extremism. When you see politicians embracing science issues you'd better hold onto
   your wallets! 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   The Governor's blue ribbon commission states that they are asking for input. Well,
   I made my thoughts known after the Governor's Secretary for Natural Resources, &lt;strong&gt;L.
   Preston Bryant&lt;/strong&gt;,&amp;nbsp;&lt;a href="http://www.fredericksburg.com/News/FLS/2008/022008/02272008/358911/index_html?page=1"&gt;published
   a letter&lt;/a&gt; in our paper recently.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   Here is &lt;a href="http://www.naturalresources.virginia.gov/OfficeInfo/bryantBio.cfm"&gt;Mr.
   Bryant's bio&lt;/a&gt;. He is an accomplished politician with an English major background.
   He is certainly eloquent, but it does appear he is somewhat light on the sciences.
   That is not going to help him if he has to explain how unimportant things like error
   factors are&amp;nbsp;in weather measurements directly related to the climatological statistical
   models used to prognosticate the potential calamities associated global warming.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   Here is my response to Mr. Bryant's article:
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;table bgcolor=#ffff99 width="600"&gt;
   &lt;tbody&gt;
      &lt;tr&gt;
         &lt;td&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;strong&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.fredericksburg.com/News/FLS/2008/032008/03072008/361086"&gt;&lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;On
               climate change, let's not rush into things, Gov. Kaine&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Date published: 3/7/2008 &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;On climate change, let's not rush into things, Gov.
               Kaine &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Gov. Kaine's study to determine how Virginia can address
               climate change is admirable, but L. Preston Bryant Jr.'s Feb. 27 op-ed does not address
               key issues ["A common-'wealth' of global solutions?"].&lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Is climate change occurring? Always, if you believe
               the historical record. Information suggests that our current climate is neither the
               warmest nor the coldest during written history. &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Are greenhouse gases bad? Greenhouse gases are naturally
               occurring (water vapor, carbon dioxide, and methane). Without the greenhouse effect,
               scientists hypothesize that the Earth would be a far colder and inhospitable place. &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Is man the cause of climate change? The governor's
               administration would have us believe that the debate on the man-made impact on the
               climate is over, and all scientists are in agreement. &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;There are many strong scientific voices that dispute
               the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the international body
               that is at the heart of the global climate-crisis call to arms. Much of the fear-mongering
               is based on computer models that are reported to be inaccurate when compared with
               current weather trends.&lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Are the governor's advisers well-balanced? Besides
               the host of business and government personages, there is one scientist of note who
               is strongly associated with the IPCC. &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;But no scientists are listed who have opposing opinions.
               How can the governor make informed policy decisions for all Virginians if he does
               not consider contrary views? &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;What if man-made climate change is not an issue? It
               would be unwise to rush headlong into enacting laws and raising taxes that would affect
               our financial well-being, when the impacts of such laws on the environment are minuscule,
               unmeasurable, and not needed.&lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font face="Courier New" size=2&gt;Hal Hayes&lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
            &lt;p&gt;
               &lt;font size=2&gt;&lt;font face="Courier New"&gt;Spotsylvania&lt;/font&gt; &lt;/font&gt;
            &lt;/p&gt;
         &lt;/td&gt;
      &lt;/tr&gt;
   &lt;/tbody&gt;
&lt;/table&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=167c74a5-fdc6-410a-bbb3-906e1949fcb7" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <trackback:ping>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/Trackback.aspx?guid=56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8</trackback:ping>
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      <pingback:target>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8.aspx</pingback:target>
      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
          <a href="http://www.townhall.com/columnists/AmandaCarpenter/2007/08/17/nasa_blocked_climate_change_blogger_from_data?page=1">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">Why
      is a U.S. Government Agency, NASA, blocking climate data</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3"> and
      how they calculated the results of their analysis? Shouldn't that be illegal? After
      all, we taxpayers are providing the funding for NASA to conduct this research. Think
      it isn't happening? Read <a href="http://www.townhall.com/columnists/AmandaCarpenter/2007/08/17/nasa_blocked_climate_change_blogger_from_data?page=1">this
      article about Steven McIntyre</a>, of the infamous <a href="http://www.climateaudit.org">Climate
      Audit</a> website.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Science data (particularly if federally funded) should
      be open to all. The very nature of discovery and understanding is to question
      and analyze. When I hear pundits say "The debate on Global Warming is over", I am
      at a loss because I don't recall exactly when that debate ever occurred and who decided
      it was over. And it is looking more and more like there are many that do not want
      this topic to be analyzed, audited, or debated. </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Is the Debate Over or Just Being Stifled</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 17 Aug 2007 13:46:12 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;a href="http://www.townhall.com/columnists/AmandaCarpenter/2007/08/17/nasa_blocked_climate_change_blogger_from_data?page=1"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Why
   is a U.S. Government Agency, NASA,&amp;nbsp;blocking climate data&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt; and
   how they calculated the results of their analysis? Shouldn't that be illegal? After
   all, we taxpayers are providing the funding for NASA to conduct this research. Think
   it isn't happening? Read &lt;a href="http://www.townhall.com/columnists/AmandaCarpenter/2007/08/17/nasa_blocked_climate_change_blogger_from_data?page=1"&gt;this
   article about Steven McIntyre&lt;/a&gt;, of the infamous &lt;a href="http://www.climateaudit.org"&gt;Climate
   Audit&lt;/a&gt; website.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Science data (particularly if federally funded) should be
   open to all. The very nature of discovery and understanding&amp;nbsp;is to question and
   analyze. When I hear pundits say "The debate on Global Warming is over", I am at a
   loss because I don't recall exactly when that debate ever occurred and who decided
   it was over. And it is looking more and more like there are many that do not want
   this topic to be analyzed, audited, or debated. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=56d8c138-9f3c-46f8-9f85-3e53ec1e85f8" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <trackback:ping>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/Trackback.aspx?guid=b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858</trackback:ping>
      <pingback:server>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/pingback.aspx</pingback:server>
      <pingback:target>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858.aspx</pingback:target>
      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
          <a href="http://home.earthlink.net/~ponderthemaunderg/index.html">Facts and Fictions
      of Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth", by Kristen Byrnes</a>. This is an extremely
      detailed examination of Al Gore's claims in his movie concerning Global Warming.
   </p>
        <p>
      A good read. Please note the complexity of issues involved. 
   </p>
        <p>
      I love this quote. "<strong>Al Gore doesn’t know what he’s talking about</strong>."
      But, he does know how to make a buck!
   </p>
        <p>
      What is becoming clearer is that the Global Warming "scam" isn't about saving the
      Planet (which doesn't need much saving if you ask me), but is about money, influence,
      and power. 
   </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <p>
       
   </p>
        <img height="184" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/Easter_Bunny.jpg" width="222" border="0" />
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Facts and Fictions</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Fri, 10 Aug 2007 14:07:56 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;a href="http://home.earthlink.net/~ponderthemaunderg/index.html"&gt;Facts and Fictions
   of Al Gore's "An Inconvenient Truth", by Kristen Byrnes&lt;/a&gt;. This is an extremely
   detailed examination of Al Gore's claims in his movie concerning Global Warming.
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   A good read. Please note the complexity of issues involved. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   I love this quote. "&lt;strong&gt;Al Gore doesn’t know what he’s talking about&lt;/strong&gt;."
   But, he does know how to make a buck!
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   What is becoming clearer is that the Global Warming "scam" isn't about saving the
   Planet (which doesn't need much saving if you ask me), but is about money, influence,
   and power. 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img height=184 src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/content/binary/Easter_Bunny.jpg" width=222 border=0&gt;&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=b8cbe802-eaea-42d1-ab97-00f94e616858" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <trackback:ping>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/Trackback.aspx?guid=634f51cc-895b-4f6a-9a25-d5558e054f11</trackback:ping>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Global climate modeling is far from an exact science,
      but to the politicos it appears to be gospel.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Here is an article by </font>
          <a href="http://www.oism.org/pproject/s33p36.htm">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">Arthur
      B. Robinson, Sallie L. Baliunas, Willie Soon, and Zachary W. Robinson, of the
      Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, entitled "<strong>Environmental Effects
      of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide</strong>"</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">. It
      includes a petition purpotedly signed by 19,000 scientists.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">It is a fairly long look at the data on Earth tempature
      data, carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and climate impact. It is not very good news
      for the "Global Warming is Real and the Earth is going to end" crowd. Here
      are some excerpts:</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">"<strong>Not one </strong>of the temperature graphs shown
      in figures 4 to 7, which include the most accurate and reliable surface and atmospheric
      temperature measurements available, both global and regional, <strong>shows any warming
      whatever</strong><strong>that can be attributed to increases in green-house gases</strong>."</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">"There are no experimental data to support the hypothesis
      that increases in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing or can be
      expected to cause catastrophic changes in global temperatures or weather. To the contrary,
      during the 20 years with the highest carbon dioxide levels, atmospheric temperatures
      have decreased." </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">There are a lot of people who believe global warming is
      real. Of course, there are a lot of people who believe in the Easter Bunny, too. Global
      climate modeling involves a complex combination of sciences in aerodynamics, physics,
      chemistry, and computational mathematics. </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">The statistical modeling by the leading authors on the
      existence of global warming was analyzed by a group of Statisticians, including my
      advisor at </font>
          <a href="http://www.gmu.edu">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">George
      Mason University</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">, </font>
          <a href="http://www.galaxy.gmu.edu/stats/faculty/wegman.html">
            <strong>
              <font face="Arial" size="3">Dr.
      Ed Wegman</font>
            </strong>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">, and resulted in their congressional
      testimony, an excerpt of that you can find </font>
          <a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/reparchives/108/Hearings/07192006hearing1987/Wegman.pdf">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">here</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Here is an excerpt from </font>
          <a href="http://whitfield.house.gov">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">Congressman
      Ed Whitfield's</font>
          </a>
          <font size="3">
            <font face="Arial"> (Kentucky) opening
      statement from the hearings on</font>
            <font face="Arial"> "</font>
          </font>
          <a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/reparchives/108/Hearings/07272006hearing2001/The_Honorable_Ed_Whitfield.htm">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">Questions
      Surrounding the 'Hockey Stick' Temperature Studies: Implications for Climate Change
      Assessments</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial">
            <font size="3">", on July 27, 2006:</font>
          </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <br />
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
            <em>"Dr. Wegman was not seeking to impugn the integrity
      of any of the scientists who work in this area, but it is clear that peer review somehow
      failed to pick up the flaws in the hockey stick studies. Dr. Wegman simply raises
      the possibility that, given the evident publishing relationship among the authors
      of many of the relevant works, combined with the failure to involve statisticians,
      Dr. Mann's peers may have been too close to the topic to scrutinize the studies as
      rigorously as they might have. Whatever the case, Dr. Mann's peers failed to catch
      the errors Wegman, the NRC, and McIntyre identified."</em>
          </font>
        </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=634f51cc-895b-4f6a-9a25-d5558e054f11" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Predictions of global warming are based on computer climate modeling, a branch of science still in its infancy.</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,634f51cc-895b-4f6a-9a25-d5558e054f11.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,634f51cc-895b-4f6a-9a25-d5558e054f11.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Sun, 05 Aug 2007 23:01:14 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Global climate modeling is far from an exact science, but
   to the politicos it appears to be gospel.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Here is an article by &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.oism.org/pproject/s33p36.htm"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Arthur
   B. Robinson, Sallie L. Baliunas, Willie Soon,&amp;nbsp;and Zachary W. Robinson, of the
   Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine, entitled "&lt;strong&gt;Environmental Effects
   of Increased Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide&lt;/strong&gt;"&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;.&amp;nbsp;It
   includes a petition purpotedly signed by 19,000 scientists.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;It is a fairly long look at the data on Earth tempature data,
   carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and climate impact. It is not very good news for
   the "Global Warming is Real and the&amp;nbsp;Earth is going to end" crowd.&amp;nbsp;Here are
   some excerpts:&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;"&lt;strong&gt;Not one &lt;/strong&gt;of the temperature graphs shown
   in figures 4 to 7, which include the most accurate and reliable surface and atmospheric
   temperature measurements available, both global and regional, &lt;strong&gt;shows any warming
   whatever&lt;/strong&gt; &lt;strong&gt;that can be attributed to increases in green-house gases&lt;/strong&gt;."&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;"There are no experimental data to support the hypothesis
   that increases in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases are causing or can be
   expected to cause catastrophic changes in global temperatures or weather. To the contrary,
   during the 20 years with the highest carbon dioxide levels, atmospheric temperatures
   have decreased." &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;There are a lot of people who believe global warming is real.
   Of course, there are a lot of people who believe in the Easter Bunny, too. Global
   climate modeling involves a complex combination of sciences in aerodynamics, physics,
   chemistry, and computational mathematics. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;The statistical modeling by the leading authors on the existence
   of global warming was analyzed by a group of Statisticians, including my advisor at &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.gmu.edu"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;George
   Mason University&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;, &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.galaxy.gmu.edu/stats/faculty/wegman.html"&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Dr.
   Ed Wegman&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;, and resulted in their congressional
   testimony, an excerpt of that you can find &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/reparchives/108/Hearings/07192006hearing1987/Wegman.pdf"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;here&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Here is an excerpt from &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://whitfield.house.gov"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Congressman
   Ed Whitfield's&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font size=3&gt;&lt;font face=Arial&gt; (Kentucky)&amp;nbsp;opening statement
   from the hearings on&lt;/font&gt;&lt;font face=Arial&gt; "&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://energycommerce.house.gov/reparchives/108/Hearings/07272006hearing2001/The_Honorable_Ed_Whitfield.htm"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Questions
   Surrounding the 'Hockey Stick' Temperature Studies: Implications for Climate Change
   Assessments&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial&gt;&lt;font size=3&gt;", on July 27, 2006:&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &gt;
   &lt;br&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;em&gt;"Dr. Wegman was not seeking to impugn the integrity of
   any of the scientists who work in this area, but it is clear that peer review somehow
   failed to pick up the flaws in the hockey stick studies. Dr. Wegman simply raises
   the possibility that, given the evident publishing relationship among the authors
   of many of the relevant works, combined with the failure to involve statisticians,
   Dr. Mann's peers may have been too close to the topic to scrutinize the studies as
   rigorously as they might have. Whatever the case, Dr. Mann's peers failed to catch
   the errors Wegman, the NRC, and McIntyre identified."&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=634f51cc-895b-4f6a-9a25-d5558e054f11" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
This weblog is sponsored by &lt;a href="http://www.acritech.com"&gt;ACRITECH Corporation&lt;/a&gt;. </description>
      <category>Climate;Global Warming;Science</category>
    </item>
    <item>
      <trackback:ping>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/Trackback.aspx?guid=23ce333a-9af9-4776-aaa3-4edd652c033c</trackback:ping>
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <body xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Well, this is another global warming note.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">A </font>
          <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070312/ap_on_sc/polar_trek_1">
            <font face="Arial" size="3">women-led
      expedition across the Arctic Ocean to bring attention to global warming</font>
          </a>
          <font face="Arial" size="3"> was
      called off because of....(wait for it)...extremely cold tempatures.</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">An organizer's response to this was the following. "They
      were experiencing temperatures that weren't expected with global warming...But one
      of the things we see with global warming is <strong>unpredictability</strong>."</font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Wow. What a really telling statement. These advocates
      could not prove their point, because Mother Nature didn't want to cooperate. So, they
      claimed that unpredictibility is a resut of global warming. Based on that logic (or
      lack thereof) any thing unpredictable is the direct result of global warming. The
      mail did not come, the dog died, I got an abscessed tooth, a particularly harsh winter,
      a hurricane in June, etc. If it is upredictable, then chalk it up as further proof
      of global warming. </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Of course, the problem with global warming is that it
      is a theory that cannot be accurately modeled. Oh, the models show extreme tempature
      increases, but when predictions are matched with actual data from nature, these
      models cannot accurately account for the actual observations. </font>
        </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">
          </font> 
   </p>
        <p>
          <font face="Arial" size="3">Just one more tiny piece of evidence that global warming <em>caused
      by humanity</em> is a "belief" and not a fact.</font>
        </p>
        <img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=23ce333a-9af9-4776-aaa3-4edd652c033c" />
        <br />
        <hr />
   This weblog is sponsored by <a href="http://www.acritech.com">ACRITECH Corporation</a>. 
</body>
      <title>Claiming unpredictibility as proof</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,23ce333a-9af9-4776-aaa3-4edd652c033c.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,23ce333a-9af9-4776-aaa3-4edd652c033c.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Tue, 13 Mar 2007 16:45:43 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Well, this is another global warming note.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;A &lt;/font&gt;&lt;a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20070312/ap_on_sc/polar_trek_1"&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;women-led
   expedition across the Arctic Ocean to bring attention to global warming&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt; was
   called off because of....(wait for it)...extremely cold tempatures.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;An organizer's response to this was the following. "They were
   experiencing temperatures that weren't expected with global warming...But one of the
   things we see with global warming is &lt;strong&gt;unpredictability&lt;/strong&gt;."&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Wow. What a really telling statement. These advocates could
   not prove their point, because Mother Nature didn't want to cooperate. So, they claimed
   that unpredictibility is a resut of global warming. Based on that logic (or lack thereof)
   any thing unpredictable is the direct result of global warming. The mail did not come,
   the dog died, I got an abscessed tooth, a particularly harsh winter, a hurricane in
   June, etc. If it is upredictable, then chalk it up as further proof of global warming. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Of course, the problem with global warming is that it is a
   theory that cannot be accurately modeled. Oh, the models show extreme tempature increases,
   but when predictions are&amp;nbsp;matched with actual data from nature, these models cannot
   accurately account for the actual observations. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial size=3&gt;Just one more tiny piece of evidence that global warming &lt;em&gt;caused
   by humanity&lt;/em&gt;&amp;nbsp;is a "belief" and not a fact.&lt;/font&gt; 
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=23ce333a-9af9-4776-aaa3-4edd652c033c" /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;hr /&gt;
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      <dc:creator>hal.hayes@acritech.com (Hal Hayes)</dc:creator>
      <title>Climatological Cassandras</title>
      <guid>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,cc0fb091-2fb2-47b9-aa5d-c14f5f0f9023.aspx</guid>
      <link>http://www.halhayes.com/blog/PermaLink,guid,cc0fb091-2fb2-47b9-aa5d-c14f5f0f9023.aspx</link>
      <pubDate>Mon, 26 Feb 2007 18:56:27 GMT</pubDate>
      <description>&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;The weather prognosticators are at it again.
   The weather prediction for the day (Sunday) was for rain or sleet. Instead we wake
   up with six inches of snow. Of course, my daughter was happy about all this.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;But it got me thinking again about all the hysteria
   about global warming. At the center of my discontent on this topic for &lt;strong&gt;believing&lt;/strong&gt; that
   global warming, caused by humans, is real, is the fact that both the ability to accurately
   measure and then predict weather is so inprecise that it makes the far reaching, catostrophic
   predictions seem absolutely ridiculous to me! If the weather prognosticators cannot
   even get the prediction for the climate right just one day out, how can we expect
   climatologists to accurately predict that we will be facing dire consequences some
   ten, twenty or one hundred years in the future.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;I misuse the term “&lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cassandra"&gt;Cassandra&lt;/a&gt;&lt;?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /&gt;”
   (based on Greek mythology as the daughter of King Priam of 
   &lt;st1:City w:st="on"&gt;
      &lt;st1:place w:st="on"&gt;Troy&lt;/st1:place&gt;
   &lt;/st1:City&gt;
   ), who is characterized as someone who can see the future but is disbelieved. In actuality,
   Global Warming is more about belief then about science, in my humble opinion. I realized
   this when talking with someone the other day. He was a smart young person, but he
   believed that we should be doing more to take care of our planet Earth, and as a result
   of not taking care of it, we were causing Global Warming. It is unfortunate that that
   many people’s concerns for their environment are misused by those seeking to exploit
   that concern for political gain, money, or noteriety (or all of the above).&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;So, here are Hal’s reasons for “believing” that
   Global Warming (defined herein as the increase of climatological tempatures due to
   manmade influences) is not a fact and may actually be bunk.&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial&gt;&lt;font color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Modeling Climate when data contains
   inaccuracies&lt;/strong&gt;. Climatological predictions are based on models. These models &lt;/font&gt;&lt;font color=#000000 size=3&gt;use
   combinations of data that has a high degree of error in it (the older the data the
   more the error – think about the kinds of thermometers used 300 years, 100 years,
   or even 50 years ago). If there are indeed high error factors, why are we willing
   to put such faith in the models being used to predict Global Warming?&lt;/font&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Failure to consider other factors&lt;/strong&gt;.
   Some of the models I have read about do not take take all kinds of conditions into
   account (such as solar flares).&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Models break down over time&lt;/strong&gt;.&amp;nbsp;The
   reason for&amp;nbsp;having a model of&amp;nbsp;short&amp;nbsp;duration is that it can be mapped
   to recent data without having&amp;nbsp;to be accurate over geological time. How good is
   this short duration model? The real issue then becomes - at what point is the model
   good for. Weather guessers' models are really only good for at best a week. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Is Man the real problem&lt;/strong&gt;? While
   many want to believe that Man can have a profound effect on the ecology of the Earth,
   I would challenge that naturally occurring conditions more likely the cause of any
   climate change. How much of the increase of&amp;nbsp;carbon dioxide is caused by the&amp;nbsp;released
   of the gas from volcanos (or other natural events)&amp;nbsp;when compared to all the cars
   in the all the civlized countries? &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;In truth, &lt;a href="http://www.businessandmedia.org/specialreports/2006/fireandice/fireandice.asp"&gt;scientists
   over a quarter century ago were predicting direous consequences &lt;/a&gt;of the coming
   Ice Age, and in fact, have gone back and forth&amp;nbsp;for about the last century.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;Perhaps it is the heigth of Man’s arrogance
   to believe that we have so much of an impact on climate. How would we feel if tomorrow
   some scientist(s) proved that we had no impact at all on climate, animal extinctions,
   hurricanes, tornados, locusts, fire ants, or any other coming disaster? &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;Perhaps think people have to think that they
   have some control over these forces. Perhaps, for some people, believing that driving
   more Prius cars would make the World better, the air cleaner, the hurricanes less,
   the polar bears more populant. Perhaps that is better for them then believing (or
   knowing) that nothing they would do will have any impact at all on preventing a hurricane,
   the sinking of New York into the sea, an earthquake, or some other tragic disaster. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;&lt;/font&gt;&amp;nbsp;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0pt"&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial color=#000000 size=3&gt;My biggest concern with the concept of global
   climatological analysis is that it has been seized, better yet, hijacked by politicians,
   media, environmentalist organizations resulting in less intelligent discussing about
   the subject and more hyperbole. &lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
   &lt;font face=Arial&gt;&lt;/font&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;img width="0" height="0" src="http://www.halhayes.com/blog/aggbug.ashx?id=cc0fb091-2fb2-47b9-aa5d-c14f5f0f9023" /&gt;
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